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State of the Market: What the next legal states will buy first | Cannabis Market Data

Cannabis market data: Tuesday's election put Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Texas on the legalization map for 2027. Our menu data suggests what those markets will look like in their early years: flower first.

Trees.Cloud Research

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State of the Market: what the next legal states will buy first

Tuesday's election put Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Texas on the legalization map for 2027. Our menu data suggests what those markets will look like in their early years: flower first.

Top category by state (approx. share of revenue)

  • Illinois: flower 39%, vape pens 30%
  • Michigan: flower 34%, vape pens 24%, infused pre-rolls 16%
  • California: vape pens 32%, flower 29%
  • Colorado: vape pens 33%, flower 22%, edibles 21%
  • Washington: vape pens 34%, flower 23%

The newer adult-use markets, Illinois and Michigan, still lead with flower. The oldest ones, California, Colorado and Washington, have shifted toward vapes and edibles. Brands planning for new states should expect a flower-first market at launch, then shift toward vapes and edibles as the market matures.

The scale behind it: 13,641 dispensaries, 38,520 brands and 16.6 million menu listings on Trees.Cloud's network. Market revenue grew 12.5% in 2025, and Massachusetts voters just protected a $1.65B market of their own.

If Pennsylvania opens adult-use sales, will it follow the flower-first path, or skip straight to vapes?

Source: Trees.Cloud menu data, snapshot Oct 31, 2026. Revenue shares are estimates. Election news via Marijuana Moment and MJBizDaily.

#cannabisindustry #cannabismarket #cannabisdata #Election2026 #legalization

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